Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.394701 0.436782 0.481998 0.534281 0.593180 0.657604 0.733572
2025-04-20 0.329876 0.388608 0.456402 0.540826 0.643676 0.765576 0.921989
2025-04-27 0.293160 0.359943 0.440801 0.546685 0.682825 0.853518 1.086158
2025-05-04 0.266259 0.337935 0.428122 0.551167 0.716575 0.933957 1.245793
2025-05-11 0.244082 0.318586 0.415448 0.552329 0.743572 1.005478 1.398635
2025-05-18 0.227820 0.304876 0.408029 0.558502 0.776254 1.085983 1.570994
2025-05-25 0.208143 0.284493 0.389274 0.546338 0.780630 1.125072 1.684873
2025-06-01 0.197331 0.275338 0.385033 0.553936 0.813601 1.208181 1.874053
2025-06-08 0.184515 0.262170 0.373741 0.549676 0.827545 1.262562 2.022221
2025-06-15 0.175490 0.253754 0.368569 0.553872 0.854386 1.338919 2.214405
2025-06-22 0.164241 0.241156 0.356072 0.545379 0.859680 1.379956 2.349364
2025-06-29 0.154898 0.230787 0.346169 0.540027 0.869274 1.428429 2.502151
2025-07-06 0.142453 0.214997 0.327007 0.518522 0.850446 1.427250 2.565452
2025-07-13 0.136895 0.209713 0.324181 0.523932 0.878452 1.511457 2.801684
2025-07-20 0.131878 0.204927 0.321745 0.529641 0.907200 1.599391 3.055869
2025-07-27 0.126996 0.200022 0.318721 0.533959 0.933574 1.685125 3.316235
2025-08-03 0.121906 0.194439 0.314149 0.535080 0.953907 1.760927 3.565173
2025-08-10 0.118043 0.190669 0.312380 0.541032 0.983754 1.858167 3.873588
2025-08-17 0.111498 0.181944 0.301475 0.529303 0.978117 1.882763 4.021144
2025-08-24 0.108487 0.179149 0.300797 0.536629 1.010768 1.989751 4.374585
2025-08-31 0.103910 0.173352 0.294397 0.532521 1.019799 2.047251 4.617204
2025-09-07 0.100845 0.170060 0.292309 0.536568 1.045895 2.144267 4.971097
2025-09-14 0.096234 0.163748 0.284316 0.528378 1.045430 2.181909 5.178819